Showing posts with label predictive analytics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictive analytics. Show all posts

Friday, November 18, 2011

Datamining Sentiment from News Text

In an earlier post, I mentioned different companies using social media to gather information for stock market trades. The larger area of developing predictive analytics and datamining of news article text has several interesting players: Thomas Reuters [PDF], Dow Jones (RavenPack), Predictive Signal, and MarketPsych. Predictive Signal claims 10.4% positive returns (not annualized) over a nearly 3 month period (May to Aug 2011) versus an S&P 500 decline of 9.9%. MarketPsych cites a 25+% better returns than the S&P 500 with a third of the volatility from September 2008 to December 2010. In the latter, they actually traded over that 2 year period using their proprietary signals (MarketPsy Long-Short Fund LP).